Fragmentation and Old Evidence

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Bayesian confirmation theory is our best formal framework for describing inductive reasoning. The problem of old evidence a particularly difficult one theory, because it suggests that this fails to account central and important cases reasoning scientific inference. I show we can appeal the fragmentation doxastic states solve theory. This solution independently well-motivated success in solving other problems. also argue preferable solutions evidence. These are already committed something like fragmentation, but suffer from difficulties due their additional commitments. If these arguments successful, saved evidence, argument bolstered by its ability yet another problem.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Episteme

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1750-0117', '1742-3600']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/epi.2020.51